XLM Price Analysis

About Stellar
The Stellar network is an open source, distributed, and community owned network used to facilitate cross-asset transfers of value. Stellar aims to help facilitate cross-asset transfer of value at a fraction of a penny while aiming to be an open financial system that gives people of all income levels access to low-cost financial services. Stellar can handle exchanges between fiat-based currencies and between cryptocurrencies. Stellar.org, the organization that supports Stellar, is centralized like XRP and meant to handle cross platform transactions and micro transactions like XRP. However, unlike Ripple, Stellar.org is non-profit and their platform itself is open source and decentralized. Stellar was founded by Jed McCaleb in 2014. Jed McCaleb is also the founder of Mt. Gox and co-founder of Ripple, launched the network system Stellar with former lawyer Joyce Kim. Stellar is also a payment technology that aims to connect financial institutions and drastically reduce the cost and time required for cross-border transfers. In fact, both payment networks used the same protocol initially. Distributed Exchange Through the use of its intermediary currency Lumens (XLM), a user can send any currency that they own to anyone else in a different currency. For instance, if Joe wanted to send USD to Mary using her EUR, an offer is submitted to the distributed exchange selling USD for EUR. This submitted offer forms is known as an order book. The network will use the order book to find the best exchange rate for the transaction in-order to minimize the fee paid by a user. This multi-currency transaction is possible because of "Anchors". Anchors are trusted entities that hold people’s deposits and can issue credit. In essence, Anchors serves as the bridge between different currencies and the Stellar network. Lumens (XLM) Lumens are the native asset (digital currency) that exist on the Stellar network that helps to facilitate multi-currency transactions and prevent spams. For multi-currency transactions, XLM is the digital intermediary that allows for such a transaction to occur at a low cost. In-order to prevent DoS attacks (aka spams) that would inevitably occur on the Stellar network, a small fee of 0.00001 XLM is associated with every transaction that occurs on the network. This fee is small enough so it does not significantly affect the cost of transaction, but large enough so it dissuades bad actors from spamming the network. Prior to Protocol 12, Stellar had a built-in inflation mechanism conceived to allow account holders to collectively direct inflation-generated lumens toward projects built on Stellar. As the network evolved and grew, it became increasingly clear that inflation wasn’t working as intended — account holders either didn’t set their inflation destination or joined inflation pools to claim the inflation themselves, and the operational costs associated with inflation payments continued to rise — and so a protocol change to disable inflation was proposed, implemented, voted on by validators, and ultimately adopted as part of a network upgrade. The inflation operation is now deprecated. https://developers.stellar.org/docs/glossary/inflation/
Market Overview
Stellar's market presence remains substantial, with a circulating supply of 31851576554.28716 and a market capitalization of $12.69B. The 24-hour trading volume, currently positioned at $325.47M, demonstrates continued high liquidity and trading activity, indicating ongoing interest from both short-term traders and long-term holders. Sentiment, however, appears weighed down by a fear and greed index currently at 23 and classified as Extreme Fear, reflecting significant caution among market participants. Despite a change over the past 24 hours of 3.09%, underlying fundamentals, from robust network usage to established exchange support, continue to underpin long-term investor confidence.
Technical Analysis
Stellar's recent price dynamics indicate a mixed technical landscape. With the latest trading price hovering around $0.40, the asset has been trading notably above the short- and long-term simple moving averages. The 7-day, 30-day, 90-day, and 200-day SMA levels suggest an ongoing downward momentum, as all currently point lower, reflecting a period of consolidation or weakness. Daily volatility at 0.18% highlights the persistent choppiness in the markets. The current price trend, combined with technical moving average directions, implies resistance overhead and questions on immediate bullish momentum, but also signals increasing volatility that may precede trend changes. Traders are likely watching for confirmation before repositioning, considering recent fluctuations.
Future Price Predictions
| Year | Year High | Year Low |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $0.75 | $0.22 |
| 2027 | $1.15 | $0.35 |
| 2028 | $1.65 | $0.45 |
| 2029 | $2.2 | $0.55 |
| 2030 | $2.8 | $0.65 |
Expert Prediction
From an analyst’s viewpoint, Stellar's current trajectory is shaped by a confluence of technical and behavioral factors. The short-term downward momentum in key technical indicators may pose challenges for immediate upside, however, the active trading environment reflected in $11.12M and the resilient fundamentals underpin a strong base of support. Meanwhile, sentiment readings such as the prevailing Extreme Fear environment imply a potential contrarian signal—historically, periods of elevated fear can precede market rebounds, provided macro conditions remain favorable. As such, the outlook is cautiously constructive: current technical pressures could transition to upward momentum should broader sentiment improve and buyers reengage.
| Volume (24h) | $325.47M |
| Current Supply | 31.85B |
| Market Dominance | 0.00% |
| Circulating Supply | 31.85B |
| Volatility (24h) | 17.74% |
| Fear & Greed | 23 (Extreme Fear) |





