XLM Price Analysis

About Stellar
The Stellar network is an open source, distributed, and community owned network used to facilitate cross-asset transfers of value. Stellar aims to help facilitate cross-asset transfer of value at a fraction of a penny while aiming to be an open financial system that gives people of all income levels access to low-cost financial services. Stellar can handle exchanges between fiat-based currencies and between cryptocurrencies. Stellar.org, the organization that supports Stellar, is centralized like XRP and meant to handle cross platform transactions and micro transactions like XRP. However, unlike Ripple, Stellar.org is non-profit and their platform itself is open source and decentralized. Stellar was founded by Jed McCaleb in 2014. Jed McCaleb is also the founder of Mt. Gox and co-founder of Ripple, launched the network system Stellar with former lawyer Joyce Kim. Stellar is also a payment technology that aims to connect financial institutions and drastically reduce the cost and time required for cross-border transfers. In fact, both payment networks used the same protocol initially. Distributed Exchange Through the use of its intermediary currency Lumens (XLM), a user can send any currency that they own to anyone else in a different currency. For instance, if Joe wanted to send USD to Mary using her EUR, an offer is submitted to the distributed exchange selling USD for EUR. This submitted offer forms is known as an order book. The network will use the order book to find the best exchange rate for the transaction in-order to minimize the fee paid by a user. This multi-currency transaction is possible because of "Anchors". Anchors are trusted entities that hold people’s deposits and can issue credit. In essence, Anchors serves as the bridge between different currencies and the Stellar network. Lumens (XLM) Lumens are the native asset (digital currency) that exist on the Stellar network that helps to facilitate multi-currency transactions and prevent spams. For multi-currency transactions, XLM is the digital intermediary that allows for such a transaction to occur at a low cost. In-order to prevent DoS attacks (aka spams) that would inevitably occur on the Stellar network, a small fee of 0.00001 XLM is associated with every transaction that occurs on the network. This fee is small enough so it does not significantly affect the cost of transaction, but large enough so it dissuades bad actors from spamming the network. Prior to Protocol 12, Stellar had a built-in inflation mechanism conceived to allow account holders to collectively direct inflation-generated lumens toward projects built on Stellar. As the network evolved and grew, it became increasingly clear that inflation wasn’t working as intended — account holders either didn’t set their inflation destination or joined inflation pools to claim the inflation themselves, and the operational costs associated with inflation payments continued to rise — and so a protocol change to disable inflation was proposed, implemented, voted on by validators, and ultimately adopted as part of a network upgrade. The inflation operation is now deprecated. https://developers.stellar.org/docs/glossary/inflation/
Market Overview
The current landscape for Stellar is defined by a combination of moderate market capitalization, presented at $12.69B, and significant trading activity, with a recent 24-hour volume coming in at $325.47M. Circulating supply remains robust at 31851576554.28716, underscoring Stellar's established role in the digital asset ecosystem. Sentiment, however, is clearly risk-averse; the fear and greed index is positioned at 23, placing market psychology deep into 'Extreme Fear'. This climate can sometimes precede periods of sharp recovery, though it often brings increased volatility. Notably, the 24-hour price change is at -1.92%, reflecting near-term uncertainty. Together, these factors contribute to a market environment where caution and strategic positioning are paramount.
Technical Analysis
Stellar (XLM) is currently exhibiting a complex technical setup, with short- and long-term trend indicators signaling some cautiousness. Examining the simple moving averages (SMA) across multiple timeframes, the latest readings indicate that both the 7-day and 30-day SMAs are currently trending lower, suggesting that momentum is currently skewed to the downside. The 90-day and even the 200-day moving averages have also shifted downward, reinforcing a broader bearish tilt across the chart. However, the current price of XLM at $0.40 stands notably higher than these key averages, indicating possible consolidation above its longer-term mean despite prevailing weakness. Volatility over the last 24 hours is measured at 0.15%, which can signal potential for sudden price movements. Market participants should assess whether this technical pressure could resolve as an opportunity for trend reversal or if it signals an extended period of correction.
Future Price Predictions
| Year | Year High | Year Low |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $0.55 | $0.25 |
| 2027 | $0.74 | $0.31 |
| 2028 | $0.95 | $0.4 |
| 2029 | $1.12 | $0.38 |
| 2030 | $1.45 | $0.52 |
Expert Prediction
From an analytical standpoint, Stellar’s present technical structure and macro sentiment point to a cautiously optimistic medium-term view. While the array of SMAs slope downward, the actual price at $0.40 maintains a notable gap above those averages, which could indicate resistance to further downside if buying interest returns. Volume metrics at $325.47M illustrate there’s still substantial liquidity in Stellar markets, suggesting orderly price discovery despite the prevailing nervousness. With the broader sentiment characterized by Extreme Fear, investors may find opportunities once risk appetite shifts. Although current market dynamics present headwinds, Stellar remains fundamentally sound, and a stabilization phase could offer fertile ground for a renewed uptrend in upcoming quarters.
| Volume (24h) | $325.47M |
| Current Supply | 31.85B |
| Market Dominance | 0.00% |
| Circulating Supply | 31.85B |
| Volatility (24h) | 15.50% |
| Fear & Greed | 23 (Extreme Fear) |





